Have you noticed the news is causing fear about Ebola?
Well, Twitter, like Wiki, is adding fuel to the flame.
How bad is Ebola? Do you remember the last real epidemic? SARS? Well Ebola is worse than SARS was.
Some will try to use the R(naught) modeling tool. That model says SARS may be worse. R(4) compared to an official R(1.8).
I do doubt the low R(1.8), but it is a modeling tool. It does not tell us the true ‘virulence’ of the disease. Patient numbers within a general population tell us that.
Over a similar time period, SARS infected 8100 people, Ebola has infected 15,000. At this stage of the SARS epidemic, SARS ceased. Stopped. And there have been no more cases. Ebola has not started slowing down, yet.
The targeted populations are also different. SARS hit cities in China. Those cities were better prepared. Ebola has devastated villages and cities in western Africa. They were not prepared. But, SARS spread within a much larger and denser population.
SARS had a 9.5% fatality rate. This epidemic of Ebola is around 50%.
It is difficult to compare diseases. But, I would say Ebola is much more dangerous than SARS, and it seems easier to catch.
Will you change your life because of Ebola?